Raymond Merriman's Weekly Preview

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Posted by in Raymond Merriman's Weekly Preview on December 17, 2016 .

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“U.S. government debt prices fell Thursday, continuing their path lower after the Federal Reserve raised its benchmark rate by 25 basis points Wednesday and signaled a faster-than-expected tightening cycle for next year…. Wednesday saw the Fed surprise markets with a forecast that showed it could raise rates three times next year, instead of two.” – Anmar Frangoul, “U.S. Treasury Yields...

Posted by in Raymond Merriman's Weekly Preview on December 10, 2016 .

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"It's a great time; everyone's having fun. But people need to remember that bull markets don't end on pessimism; they end in euphoria. I'd advise people to not get too euphoric," said Sean O'Hara, director at Pacer Financial. "People are predisposed to think stocks are maybe going to pay less in taxes" and that we're getting better economic data in the future, said Kim Forrest, senior equity...

Posted by in Raymond Merriman's Weekly Preview on December 03, 2016 .

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The U.S. economy added 178,000 jobs last month, the Labor Department said, with the unemployment rate falling to 4.6 percent. Economists polled by Reuters expected a gain of 175,000 with the unemployment rate holding steady at 4.9 percent. Wages, however, slumped to 2.5 percent. "The report reaffirms the conditions of the employment market of the past several years," said Bill Lawrence, chief...

Posted by in Raymond Merriman's Weekly Preview on November 26, 2016 .

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The USA stock market keeps rolling along to new all-time highs following the contradictory USA presidential election of November 8. Donald Trump, of course, won the Electoral College vote, and will be the next USA president, barring another surprising upset by Electoral College delegates who will cast their decisive votes on December 19. Hillary Clinton will not serve as the next USA president,...

Posted by in Raymond Merriman's Weekly Preview on November 19, 2016 .

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One week after the USA presidential election, winners and losers in financial markets are making stunning appearances. In world equity markets, the Dow Jones Industrial Average soared to an all-time high last week, but it was not accompanied by a new high in the S&P or NASDAQ futures. Other winners last week included China’s Shanghai Index and Japanese Nikkei, both of which roared to their...

Posted by in Raymond Merriman's Weekly Preview on November 12, 2016 .

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Elections have consequences, and at the end of the day, I won.” – President Obama to House Republican Whip Eric Cantor, January 23, 2009.

 

Students at America’s top universities were less than elated by the election results. “Teary eyes, bowed heads, and cries of disbelief emerged from election-watching gatherings on Yale campus,” reports the Yale Daily News…. But at Harvard,...

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“The U.S. economy added a less-than-expected 161,000 jobs in October and the unemployment rate stood at 4.9 percent... But the bigger number in the report could be wages, with average hourly earnings climbing 10 cents and reflecting a 2.8 percent annualized increase, according to the report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The number would seem to solidify a Fed rate increase in December …” Jeff Cox, CNBC, November 4, 2016.
 
Last week was not only pre-election week in the USA, but Friday also released the employment and hourly wage numbers for October. New jobs increased 161,000, which was slightly less than the...

 

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“U.S. equities gave back earlier gains on Friday after the Federal Bureau of Investigation announced it is investigating new emails related to Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton. – Fred Imbert, “Stocks Slide After FBI Says It's Probing New Clinton Emails, CNBC, October 28, 2016.

 

… third-quarter GDP growth came in at 2.9 percent, a better-than-expected reading that dents...