MMA FREE WEEKLY COLUMN FOR 2017-05-01

Posted by in Raymond Merriman's Weekly Preview on April 29, 2017 . 10 Comments.

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REVIEW

 

The U.S economy grew at a rate of 0.7 percent in the first quarter, the Commerce Department said. Economists polled by Reuters expected growth of 1.2 percent. – CNBC, April 28, 2017.

 

The weak GDP report pushed USA equity prices lower on Friday. However, it was still an excellent week for USA stocks as the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 392 points, with most of the gains coming from strong earnings reports Monday-Wednesday, combined with the White House announcement of a new tax proposal that – among other things – aims to reduce USA corporate taxes from 35% to just 15%. The NADSAQ Composite was also up sharply to a record high, closing above 6000 for the first time ever. All of this bullishness follows the prior week’s third and final Venus square Saturn aspect, which also ended the most potent geocosmic time band of the year, lasting from February 22-April 21. Much of this period also coincided with Venus retrograde, March 4-April 15. As discussed several times in this column, any market that is declining into a Venus/Saturn hard aspect is a good candidate to reverse and begin a robust rally. Also, any market that reverses its primary trend around the retrograde is a prime candidate to commence a counter-trend move until near the time it turns direct. The all-time high in the DJIA was March 1, just before the retrograde began, and the decline ended April 19, just after the Venus retrograde ended. Once again, these Financial Astrology rules served us well when combined with cycle studies, as the DJIA “gapped up” on both Monday and Tuesday of last week, registering gains of over 200 points each day.

 

The rally in equities was not limited to the USA, and the NASDAQ was not the only market to make a new all-time high last week, following the Venus/Saturn square and Venus retrograde period. New all-time highs also occurred in the German DAX, Indian Nifty, and Argentina’s Merval indices. However, China moved in contradiction to this. Its Shanghai stock index fell to its lowest level in over three months.

 

Gold traded in a relatively quiet $20 range last week, and crude oil only moved in $2.00 range. Silver was more interesting as it plunged below $17.20/ounce. Two weeks ago it was as high as $18.65. This is indeed interesting to us because we are nearing a buy signal on the basis of our Financial Astrology and Cycle market timing studies.

 

SHORT-TERM GEOCOSMICS AND LONGER-TERM THOUGHTS

 

“When being loyal involves not stating obvious truths, maybe you are being loyal to the wrong thing.” – Peggy Noonan, “Republicans, Learn the Limits of Loyalty,” Wall Street Journal, April 22-23, 2017.

 

In a blow to millions of prospective American homebuyers, the U.S. Department of Commerce has imposed countervailing duties averaging 20 percent on imports of Canadian lumber to the U.S. Why should such a development be of concern to Americans? Because U.S. trade policy can have a direct impact on housing affordability. Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross is mistaken when he says the tariffs will have little effect on the cost of housing.” Granger MacDonald, “U.S. Homebuyers Foot the Bill for Canadian Lumber Tariff,” The Hill (thehill.com), April 26, 2017.

 

“Those who don’t learn from history are doomed to repeat it.” George Santayana.

 

What would you do without me?

 

Actually, the more appropriate question should be: What would I do without you? And what would I do without the clear-cut advantage Financial Astrology provides for putting the pieces of the puzzle together to make forecasts, which in turn allows me (and others) to make decisions and plans about our financial future?

 

Many professional astrologers think that prediction is killing the integrity of astrology, and I agree with that view. However, when you can conduct studies that show high levels of correlation between geocosmic cycles and market moves, as well as mundane world conditions, you are not dealing with prediction. You are dealing with probabilities. And with probabilities, you can (and most of us do) make decisions regarding future plans, whether they be related to investments or trading decisions, or a host of other mundane factors like employment, marriage, and business matters. We are constantly fine-tuning our direction in life as more and more data come in for us to evaluate, and that evaluation takes into account our awareness of the “probabilities” of success for each available choice, whether due to something we read, studied, or personally experienced. Astrology is such a study in which such correlations (and hence probabilities) can be drawn, and which can therefore be a very valuable factor in personal decision-making and planning. This is the basis for the art of forecasting, not prediction, and it has so much more integrity than prediction, which totally discounts choice as an important factor in the ultimate outcome of any situation. Prediction invalidates choice. It empowers only the one making the prediction and disempowers everyone else.

 

Why do I bring this up now, following last week’s column about the probabilities of war? Last week, I wrote, “Speaking of war, I expect to be writing about this possibility several times over the next several months, for the solar eclipse of August 21 will conjoin Mars in late Leo – and on USA President Donald Trump’s natal Mars and Ascendant. For those who don’t know the language of astrology, that is a powerful, forceful, and aggressive dynamic. If not contained, it could lead to disputes and an increase in hostilities throughout the world, involving the USA.”

 

Now I would like to direct your attention to this geocosmic correlation to financial markets, especially the USA stock market. Many analysts are forecasting a powerful selloff in world equity markets this year. But they have been saying that for years. And here we are, after several weeks of declining stock prices, seeing a new powerful rally that is already carrying several world stock indices to new all-time highs, and the DJIA on the verge of doing the same. Everybody is looking for the same thing, but nobody knows when or why, and now so many people are confused – again. And here is why you need me - or rather, why we need to understand the correlation of Financial Astrology to financial market cycles.

 

The solar eclipse conjunct Mars – especially President Trump’s ascendant and natal Mars – also cuts its path of darkness right across the USA heartland, from west coast to east coast. And yes, in the study of astrology, this is considered a classical signature of disputes involving the USA, which can coincide with military or war threats involving the USA. But even without the solar eclipse, the simple Sun/Mars conjunction is one of our most important geocosmic correlates to 10% or greater reversals in the U.S. stock market, given an orb of 8° (and sometimes requiring as much as 12°). The Sun/Mars conjunction occurs on July 26. The 8° orb will begin June 29 and end August 21. Twelve degrees begins June 14 and ends September 5. This is the time band that coincides with 10% or greater reversals in US stock indices. Our studies also show that 67% of the time a 50-week or greater cycle (crest or trough) unfolded in this time band. If the market is making a new high then, we will look for a 10+% decline to start. If it falls at least 10% from a new yearly high into that time frame, then we will look for a bottom from which a 10+% rally will follow. The last time the Sun/Mars conjunction occurred was June 14, 2015. An all-time high in the DJIA occurred May 19 at 18,351, as the Sun was applying within 7° of the conjunction to Mars. That turned out to be the 6.5-year cycle crest. It began a decline down to 15,370 that ended with the 6.5-year cycle low on August 24, 2015.

 

Putting the pieces of the puzzle together, the reason for such a strong decline could be the escalation of a dispute (perhaps trade dispute?) involving the USA and its leadership with someone or some other country in the world. I only hope it is not Canada. Or Mexico. Or Russia. Or Korea. Or Iran (Iran especially seems highlighted).

 

So, dear reader, this is why you need me… or rather, why I need you and we need each other. If we can put the pieces of the puzzle together again, maybe we can begin to see how the writing in the heavens can tell the story of soon-to-be financial market movements, which in turn allow us to make trading and investment plans based upon such historical correlations, and the forecasts they lead us to consider.

 

NOTE: My son Sean is getting married next weekend and I host a rehearsal dinner and reception for guests on Friday evening. Thus, there may be no column next week. I will try to write something short, if time permits.

MMA Current Announcements

ONLY TWO MORE WEEKS TO SIGN UP! We will host our MMA Mid-Year 2017 Financial Markets Webinar on Saturday, June 3, at 3:00 PM, EDT. Participation to the live event will be limited, to 100 people, as always. This will be the second of three webinars we will host this year. The subject of this webinar will be an update on the outlook for the stock market, precious metals, US Dollar, crude oil, soybeans and possibly other markets and other economic and geopolitical matters of interest at this time, including the forthcoming solar eclipse, conjunct Mars on August 21, that will fall on Donald Trump’s natal Mars and Ascendant (and opposite Janet Yellen’s natal Moon). The cost is $45.00. All webinars have sold out in the past, so SIGN UP NOW to make sure you have a place reserved in this special live webinar event. For further information go to http://new.mmacycles.com/index.php?route=product/category&path=64_69 or call 1-248-626-3034, 1-800-662-3349, or email ordersmma@msn.com.

 

The monthly edition of the MMA International Cycles Report (ICR) will be released this week to all of its subscribers. Each issue of ICR contains an in-depth analysis of: the XAU index (Gold and Silver Mining stocks), the U.S. Dollar (DXY), British Pound (GBP), Australian Dollar (AUD), the Australian stock index (ASX), the London FTSE stock index, the Russell 2000 U.S. stock index (RUT), Corn (C) and Wheat (W). The analysis of these markets is written by three of the top graduates of the Merriman Market Timing Academy (MMTA), including Mark Shtayerman (San Diego), Izabella Suleymanova (San Diego), Ulric Aspegren (Sweden), and yours truly, Ray Merriman, on the Australian stock and currency markets. The report of last month was exceptional, Mark Shtayerman forecasted the price target for a primary bottom in the XAU Gold and Silver Mining Index at 80.58,+/-5.11, and one of his targeted reversal dates was May 3. The XAU bottomed at 77.46 on May 4, creating a case of intermarket bullish divergence to Gold, which bottomed the following week on May 9. These reports are excellent. If you do not subscribe to this report and would like to, please go to www.mmacycles.com, and select SERVICES or SUBSCRIPTION SERVICES and look up the MMTA International Cycles report.

 

The monthly edition of the MMA Cycles Report was issued last week to all subscribers of that report. This month’s report featured a special update on Gold. If you did not receive it, let us know at once. In addition to Gold and Silver, the monthly MMA Cycles Report also covers the outlook for U.S. stocks (DJIA and S&P futures), Treasuries, Euro Currency, Crude Oil and Soybeans, plus MMA’s original geocosmic critical reversal dates (CRDs) and Solar/Lunar reversal dates over the next several weeks. The monthly MMA Japan Cycles report also came out last week, and covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen. The MMA European Cycles Report was also released, covering the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX. If you are not a subscriber to the MMA Cycles Report, interested in metals, and wish a copy of this month’s outlook for financial markets – which will also include the two recent special reports issued on Silver – consider taking out subscription NOW. This is an excellent way to get the MMA overview on financial markets! For further information on these reports, go to http://new.mmacycles.com/index.php?route=product/category&path=65_62.

 

Also, the writing of the third edition of The Ultimate Book on Stock Market Timing, Volume 1: Cycles and Patterns in the Indexes is well underway now. This is the most comprehensive book ever published on the cycles of the stock market (DJIA, S&P and Nikkei), with analysis going back to the British stock markets of the 17th century. A lot has happened since this book was first written in 1997, twenty years ago, including the long-term cycle low of March 2009 in the recent “Great Recession.” All longer-term cycles have been updated, as well as intermediate and shorter-term cycles and their phases. This is a must-have book if you are a serious investor, trader, or student of cycles, which is one of the most important tools used in market timing. There is nothing else like this book available today. The expected release date is this July-August, and we are now offering a pre-publication special rate of $95.00 (plus postage) to those who pre-order it before June 30. After that, the cost will be $125. For more information, please visit the MMA website at www.mmacycles.com. For a direct link to pre-order the new version of this book, go to http://new.mmacycles.com/index.php?route=product/product&path=64_59&product_id=66 and check it out. You can also pre-order now by e-mail to ordersmma@msn.com or calling 1-800-662-3349, or 248-626-3034. “The Ultimate Book on Stock Market Timing: Cycles and Patterns in the Index” is literally the ultimate book on the analysis of the stock market. We are especially impressed with various waves of long-term cycles for more than 200 years, which we have never seen.”  - T. Kaburagi, Toshi Nippou Ltd (Japan’s major commodity newspaper).

 

MMA’S weekly and daily subscription reports have been very hot this year in almost every market - especially stock indices. If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you will be interested in MMA’s Weekly or Daily Market reports. There is nothing else available like these reports for traders. The weekly reports give an in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro/Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver, and Crude Oil, and now, the British Pound! The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in the Euro Currency, Japanese Yen, T-Notes, Gold and Silver, plus GLD and SLV (the Gold and Silver ETF’s. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders and shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For further information, or to subscribe, go to http://new.mmacycles.com/index.php?route=product/category&path=65_62 or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034, for more information.

 

EVENTS

 

June 3, 2017: DON’T MISS IT! The MMA Mid-Year 2017 Financial Markets Webinar! The subject of this webinar will be an update on “The Great Reset of 2017-2020,” where it stands now and what to expect this year. We will also update our most current analysis on the stock market, precious metals, US Dollar, crude oil, soybeans and possibly other markets and other economic and geopolitical matters of interest at this time, including the forthcoming solar eclipse, conjunct Mars on August 21, that will fall on Donald Trump’s natal Mars and Ascendant (and opposite Janet Yellen’s natal Moon). The cost is $45.00. All webinars have sold out in the past, so register early to make sure you have a place reserved in this special live webinar event. For information, visit http://new.mmacycles.com/index.php?route=product/product&path=64_69&product_id=235 or call 1-248-626-3034 or email ordersmma@msn.com.

 

Disclaimer and statement of purpose: The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycles’ analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand the psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.

 

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